Final week, our 2024 NFL mannequin appropriately predicted 10 of the 13 video games. To this point on the season, it’s the eighth of over 50 fashions tracked right here and has predicted over 70% of video games appropriately within the 2024 NFL season. The desk beneath incorporates our week 15 predictions:
| Week | Dwelling | Away | Dwelling Staff Predicted Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | SF | LAR | 3.9 |
| 15 | JAX | NYJ | -1.6 |
| 15 | CAR | DAL | 3.4 |
| 15 | NO | WAS | -5.3 |
| 15 | NYG | BAL | -14.6 |
| 15 | CLE | KC | -3.8 |
| 15 | TEN | CIN | -2.8 |
| 15 | HOU | MIA | 2.8 |
| 15 | PHI | PIT | 6.3 |
| 15 | DEN | IND | 4.6 |
| 15 | LAC | TB | 5.1 |
| 15 | DET | BUF | 4.0 |
| 15 | ARI | NE | 8.1 |
| 15 | SEA | GB | -1.1 |
| 15 | MIN | CHI | 7.9 |
| 15 | LV | ATL | -2.2 |
Keep in mind that our mannequin depends on Vegas information and doesn’t instantly ingest sport information. This implies it reacts shortly to the newest data. This leads to a mannequin which is an correct prediction of the longer term and never only a illustration of what occurred up to now.
Under is a graphic displaying our energy rankings as of week 15. Spoiler, for the primary time in what appears like eternally, there’s a new crew on prime.
Baltimore is now on prime in our energy rankings, lastly surpassing the Lions who’ve dominated for roughly half the season. Buffalo and Philly have been close to the highest for some time now. Kansas Metropolis has climbed into the highest 5 after a bumpy midseason. Miami has additionally risen a bunch since Tua’s return, cracking the highest 10 this week.
Additionally attention-grabbing, although not for Tremendous Bowl implications, is that Carolina has lastly climbed out of the doghouse. That is paired properly with Bryce Younger wanting lightyears higher after his midseason benching. Talking of younger QBs, Denver appears to have peaked across the fifteenth finest crew whereas the Bears proceed to plummet in our estimation. Washington is all the way in which as much as eighth. This simply goes to point out that it may be onerous to really inform which quarterbacks will probably be a franchise participant and which can make you scratch your head for years.
Our mannequin additionally produces championship possibilities, visualized within the graphic beneath. The mannequin touchdown web page incorporates extra in depth playoff possibilities together with odds to make the world sequence, make the playoffs, and so forth. The graphic beneath is supposed as a fast look to see how issues have modified.
The story this week is {that a} lot of groups are within the 5-10% win chance vary. Pittsburgh, Inexperienced Bay, Philly, Houston, Buffalo, and Minnesota all fall right here. Solely KC, Baltimore, and mighty Detroit see higher odds.
To obtain emails when new articles are posted, use the subscription kind beneath!
