It’s time to do the alternative of my submit from final Friday, the place I checked out gamers to purchase for the second half. At this time, I’m going to be a pessimist and let you know the gamers that I anticipate a dropoff from down the stretch. For those who didn’t see Friday’s submit, you possibly can test that out right here. Let’s get to it!
1) Morgan Geekie – Sorry MarmosDad! Geekie capturing 24.8% is just unsustainable. He’s scored a whopping 15.1 objectives above anticipated on the season. The one folks above 10 in all the league are Geekie, MacKinnon (13.9) and Crosby (10.1). No offense to Geekie, however considered one of this stuff isn’t like the opposite. Additionally, that hole from him to Crosby can’t be understated. He’s actually been 1.5x extra lucky than the third “luckiest” man within the league. Positive, Geekie has proven a knack to overperform expectation, however that is at an unparalleled degree. I clearly wouldn’t reduce him, however I’d certain as hell promote him if I may. If I needed to wager on over/below double digit objectives down the stretch, give me the below, and Geekie’s secondary contributions are fairly tough outdoors of hits.
2) Noah Hanifin – That is clearly on a distinct degree than Geekie, however I wouldn’t even personal Hanifin in 12’ers. Vegas appears totally dedicated to 5F on the PP, and with Theodore wholesome, Hanifin doesn’t have a spot on PP2. In actual fact, if Theodore did go down once more, I’d anticipate Andersson to take his spot now (I’d additionally promote Andersson). The hits and PIM are poor, the shot fee is mediocre at finest, and he’s really a minus participant on the season for these of you with plus-minus. Onerous cross.
3) Victor Hedman – You have a look at Hedman’s 13 assists in 21 video games and it doesn’t look horrible on the floor. I’d be making an attempt to promote him based mostly on his title worth in any respect prices. He’s not getting PP1 again from Raddysh with how effectively this season has gone for Raddysh. Hedman’s shot fee is dreadful now, sitting at only one.5 per recreation. The extra regarding factor is the minutes. Upon his return, Hedman didn’t attain 18 minutes in any of his video games, and two of these went to additional time. Tampa additionally has no purpose to push him as they’re an enormous favourite to win the Atlantic. Hedman can stumble into some assists simply being on a high group, however given his lack of contributions elsewhere, I see him on the perimeter.
4) Spencer Knight – This isn’t instantly a knock on Knight, who’s the primary purpose that Chicago has been respectable this season. The group round him stays fairly dangerous defensively, and it’s going to worsen as soon as they transfer their leases like Connor Murphy. It was getting robust earlier than the break, as Knight allowed 3+ objectives in his earlier seven video games, withe recreation above a .900 sv%. Additionally they don’t have any purpose to push him down the stretch so his workload ought to reduce down a bit. I’m nonetheless a giant fan in dynasties, however I don’t see Knight sustaining as a high 15 goalie.
5) J.J. Peterka – He’s at the moment 72% owned, which is a bit stunning to me. Twenty objectives is clearly strong, however the secondary stats are fairly tough. He’s below two pictures per recreation on the season after averaging a whopping one per recreation over his final eight earlier than the break. He’s again off PP1 with Hayton taking his spot. I additionally anticipate Utah so as to add on the deadline, which may knock Peterka down the facility play order. The Mammoth had been having loads of success with Crouse on the highest line so I believe that lasts, they usually appear to need Guenther separate from Peterka. Due to this fact, a commerce acquisition is extra more likely to play with Guenther. That’s clearly a fluid state of affairs, however the final recreation earlier than the break, Peterka was with Hayton and Yamamoto. Not precisely thrilling linemates. He’s additionally effectively above his anticipated objective whole. Even when Peterka will get to 30 objectives, the poor numbers in each different division places him on the perimeter at finest.
Three Level Problem: We’ll deliver again the Three Level Problem for the return of the league on Wednesday evening. You may make your decide right here, or on MarmosDad’s submit that will likely be out Wednesday morning. You possibly can’t choose McDavid, MacKinnon, Kucherov, Celebrini, Draisaitl, Pastrnak, Kaprizov, Rantanen, Eichel, or Scheifele. Give me Kyle Connor for a giant recreation upon his return with a gold medal.
That’s all for now guys. As talked about above, I will likely be again on Friday recapping the motion from the primary two nights of the league’s resumption, whereas MarmosDad will likely be again on Wednesday trying on the impression the Olympics may have on gamers for the remainder of the season. As all the time, be at liberty to ask any questions, go away any feedback, or give any strategies under. Thanks for studying, take care!
